Latest Quotes Real collected prices (CNY/t), not estimates or forecasts
Prediction Center
Three-layer hybrid (LSTM + XGBoost + LightGBM) · Dynamic weighting · Daily self-calibration
Price Trend & Forecast Range TA2701 Futures Close
Solid line: last 120 daily closes; dashed line/band: model forecast (P10–P90 or conservatively widened band)
Currently displaying the CZCE TA2701 futures closing price; spot reference price and basis are yet to be connected.
Prediction Results
| Target Date | Forecast Price | Change % | Direction | Confidence % | Range | Rise/Range/Fall probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Click “Generate forecast” to obtain | ||||||
Model transparency & compliance progress NO.17
All figures from real backtest/settlement ledgers: 55% hard threshold on directional accuracy (shown as-is if unmet); rolling win rate withheld when samples < 30; expected compliance date extrapolated at 1 directional settlement vote per trading day.
Three-model Dynamic Weights
Driver Breakdown (Top 15 Factors)
Forecast Trace (Latest 6 Hourly Points)
On trading days forecasts are computed automatically every 15 minutes during 09:00-15:00 (every 2 hours at other times; immediately on major events). The curve plots the last h1 forecast snapshot of each hour, revealing forecast drift after event shocks.
Historical probability replay (last 14 days)
Daily rise/range/fall probabilities are recorded for the 1/2/3-day forecasts; greyed-out bars mark a wait-and-see trigger (one-sided probability < 55%).
Manufacturer Relative Price Demo
The following are relative spread estimates based on the 100ppi average ± public capacity shares of listed companies; they are not the actual daily factory-gate prices of individual mills.
Manufacturer Capacity Weights (for weighted average)
Estimated from public capacity shares in listed-company annual reports (used only for the weighted average; does not affect individual quotes).
| Makers | Weight % | Main Business |
|---|---|---|
| Tongkun Group | 20% | POY/FDY/DTY |
| Shenghong Group | 15% | Differentiated/POY/DTY |
| Hengli Group | 18% | POY/FDY/Industrial Yarn |
| Hengyi Group | 15% | POY/FDY/DTY/PTA |
| Xinfengming | 12% | POY/FDY/DTY |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical | 7% | PTA/PX/Polyester |
| Sanfangxiang Group | 4% | Polyester Staple Fiber / Bottle Flakes |
| Huaxicun | 3% | Polyester staple fiber (PSF) |
| Yizheng Chemical Fibre | 3% | Staple/Differentiated |
| Others (3 companies) | 3% | Viscose/Lyocell |
TexNet Average Price Cross-Check
Actual Source Status
Only sources with real crawled quotes enter the cross-check; sources without a quote are marked with their actual status, excluded from the average and the source count, and never back-filled with fixed coefficients.
| Website | Authority | Actual Status |
|---|---|---|
| CCF (ccf.com.cn) | Authoritative | Paid source · not activated |
| CCFEI (ccfei.com) | Authoritative | Paid source · not activated |
| China Yarn Network (chinayarn.com) | Semi-authoritative | Under construction (quote page loaded via async JS + member wall) |
| TexNet (texnet.com.cn) | Semi-authoritative | Under construction (anti-bot redirect shell on homepage) |
| TNC Textile (tnc.com.cn) | Semi-authoritative | Under construction (public average-price channel has no POY/FDY/DTY filament products) |
| 100ppi (100ppi.com) | Semi-authoritative | Free public listing page · daily collection |
| SCI99 (sci99.com) | Semi-authoritative | Paid source · not activated |
| Longzhong Info (oilchem.net) | Semi-authoritative | Paid source · not activated |
📰 Textile industry news feed Go to news center →
🔍 Real quotes by source Listed per real data source; unavailable sources shown as under construction
Event Basis
30-Day Accuracy
Model Qualification Monitor
PTA is the TA2701 futures closing price; the forecast is offline model output, and the out-of-sample backtest verdict=FAIL (see Engine Details); do not trade on this basis.