Event identification pipeline (rolling with the news feed · status visible)
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Active-event timeline (RAG auto-links historical analogies → correction coefficient)
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Event candidate pool (identified, not yet promoted · reasons available)
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Historical-event RAG retrieval (80+ major events · 2014-2026)
| Events | Type | Start–end | Max rise/fall | Duration (days) | Similarity | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Supply-chain transmission path (event → price lag cascade)
Geopolitical/cutback eventsT-day
→
Crude OilImmediate transmission
→
PXLag 1–3 days
→
PTALag 3–7 days
→
Polyester filament yarnLag 7–14 days
→
Woven grey fabricLag 14–30 days
Upstream/downstream relations (edges sourced from the ProductChainEdge catalog)
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All spread and transmission factors are calculated using T-1 and earlier prices; same-period alignment is prohibited. Event adjustments follow tiers (major ±8~15% / moderate ±3~8% / minor ±1~3%) and are assigned within tiers by the rule engine (automatic event tiering; sentiment quantification planned), then decay automatically to zero after events fade.
Predictions are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Source: Zhisuo LoomOS · Tianji TexOracle.